{"id":7364,"date":"2015-02-22T20:17:13","date_gmt":"2015-02-23T01:17:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ezweather.com\/myblog\/?p=7364"},"modified":"2015-03-01T14:50:47","modified_gmt":"2015-03-01T19:50:47","slug":"camden-county-nj-skywarn-forecast-february-22nd-2015","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ezweather.com\/myblog\/2015\/02\/22\/camden-county-nj-skywarn-forecast-february-22nd-2015\/","title":{"rendered":"Camden County, NJ SKYWARN Forecast (February 22nd, 2015)"},"content":{"rendered":"

Good Evening Everyone,<\/span><\/p>\n

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After several months, I’m finally getting back to forecasting again. \u00a0So, let’s see how the next 2 weeks may play out. \u00a0We do have another week some pretty cold weather to deal with. \u00a0Then we have to keep an eye on coastal storm threat toward the end of the week into the weekend. \u00a0So, we may have to contend with another round of wintry weather. \u00a0As we get beyond next weekend, the weather pattern looks to moderate some and even feel milder. \u00a0Still, looks like the longer range will be on the wet side.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n


\nClick on the number, which corresponds to the PowerPoint slide number.
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

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Weather Threat Assessment Forecast<\/span><\/strong>
\nMonday, February\u00a023rd through Monday, March 9th
\nIssued: Sunday Evening, February\u00a022nd\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n
5 Day Period
\nForecast
\n<\/strong><\/span><\/center><\/td>\n
6 to 10 Day<\/strong><\/span>
\nPeriod \u00a0Forecast\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/center><\/td>\n
11 to 15 Day
\nPeriod Forecast<\/strong><\/span><\/center><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Weather Threats<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nWeather Pattern<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nWeather Threats<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nWeather Pattern\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\nWeather Threats<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u00a01<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/td>\n2<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n3<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n4<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n5<\/span><\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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Note: Number indicates PowerPoint slide number<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

As always with this experimental forecast product, due check back in the NWS official forecasts and official outlooks on any future weather threats that could impact our county.<\/p>\n

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Below are thumbnails that further describe what\u00a0Forecast Confidence<\/strong>\u00a0and\u00a0Severity Index\u00a0<\/strong>are<\/span><\/p>\n


\nForecaster Confidence<\/span>
\n<\/strong>\"1_WXSRO_5_FCST_5_PHL_20140205\"<\/a><\/p>\n

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Severity Index<\/span>
\n\"2_WXSRO_5_FCST_5_PHL_20140605\"<\/a>\"3_WXSRO_5_FCST_5_PHL_20140605\"<\/a>\"4_WXSRO_5_FCST_5_PHL_20140605\"<\/a>\"5_WXSRO_5_FCST_5_PHL_20140605\"<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

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My brief thoughts for each period….<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

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5 Day Period (Monday, February\u00a023rd through Friday, February 27th)<\/span>
\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

This period we can expect another round of arctic air to impact the area this week. \u00a0For this week, I’m highlighting to be a major cold event. \u00a0NWS is forecasting the coldest nights to be Tuesday morning with lows down to 2. \u00a0That looks to be the coldest day of the week, but we get hit again with another round of some very cold weather Thursday into Friday with highs only in the 20s and overnight lows down to around 10. \u00a0So, another week of some excessive cold.<\/span><\/p>\n

The other threat I’m highlighting in my outlook this week is potential of another winter weather event between the 25th and 28th. \u00a0My confidence level on this threat is low, but its definitely a watch item and one to keep an eye on this week. \u00a0We may literally close this month out with a bang with a major winter storm. \u00a0The GFS model has hinted at a coastal storm developing later this week, but takes it out to sea. \u00a0Originally, this model showed a significant coastal storm impacting the area with heavy snow, but the model hasn’t taken this threat more offshore.\u00a0The European model, does show a coastal low developing along the Southeast US coast on Wednesday, but takes it out to sea. \u00a0The one thing we’ve seen this winter is that the models tend to trend things to the north, so, its possible that we may see this occur again later this week.<\/span><\/p>\n

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6 to 10 Day Period (Saturday, February 28th\u00a0through Wednesday, March 4th)<\/span>
\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

For this period, the persistent cold weather we’ve been experiencing will finally ease up. \u00a0The upper pattern favors a trough developing over the Western US and some ridging in the East. \u00a0While, we expect temperatures to moderate to near average levels, precipitation will be above average. \u00a0I did note that the threat of heavy rainfall is possible. \u00a0So, with any frontal passages, we may get some heavy rainfall, that could cause some flooding. \u00a0Confidence level is the in the medium level. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

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11 to 15 Day Period (Thursday, March 5th through Monday, March 9th)<\/span>
\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

For this period, we can expect the moderation to continue. The upper air pattern favors a trough over the Western US and a ridge in the Eastern US. Temperatures are forecasted to be above average and precipitation to be above average. \u00a0So, this period looks to be similar to the 6 to 10 day. \u00a0The threat exist for some excessive rainfall, which could lead to flooding. \u00a0As mentioned above, any front passages may lead to excessive rainfall. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

X<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
\n

National Weather Service\u00a0<\/strong>Mount Holly, NJ
\n7 Day Forecast
\n(click on image and then enter your zip code)<\/strong><\/span>
\n<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\"Click<\/a><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Check out the Climate Prediction Center’s U.S Hazard Outlook
\nby clicking here<\/span><\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Storm Prediction Center<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
NWS Mount Holly<\/span><\/a>\u00a0<\/strong>NJ Facebook<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
NWS Mount Holly<\/span><\/a><\/strong>,<\/span><\/a><\/strong>\u00a0NJ Twitter<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

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Background
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